Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health‐Care Evaluation

Preface. List of examples. 1. Introduction. 1.1 What are Bayesian methods? 1.2 What do we mean by 'health--care evaluation'? 1.3 A Bayesian approach to evaluation. 1.4 The aim of this book and the intended audience. 1.5 Structure of the book. 2. Basic Concepts from Traditional Statistical Analysis. 2.1 Probability. 2.1.1 What is probability? 2.1.2 Odds and log--odds. 2.1.3 Bayes theorem for simple events. 2.2 Random variables, parameters and likelihood. 2.2.1 Random variables and their distributions. 2.2.2 Expectation, variance, covariance and correlation. 2.2.3 Parametric distributions and conditional independence. 2.2.4 Likelihoods. 2.3 The normal distribution. 2.4 Normal likelihoods. 2.4.1 Normal…