Introduction to time series analysis and forecasting

1. Introduction to Forecasting. 1.1 The Nature and uses of Forecasts. 1.2 Some Examples of Time Series. 1.3 The Forecasting Process. 1.4 Resources for Forecasting. 2. Statistics Background for Forecasting. 2.1 Introduction. 2.2 Graphical Displays. 2.3 Numerical Description of Time Series Data. 2.4 Use of Data Transformations and Adjustments. 2.5 General Approach to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. 2.6 Evaluating and Monitoring Forecasting Model Performance. 3. Regression Analysis and Forecasting. 3.1 Introduction. 3.2 Least Squares Estimation in Linear Regression Models. 3.3 Statistical Inference in Linear Regression. 3.4 Prediction of New Observations. 3.5 Model Adequacy Checking. 3.6 Variable Selection…