Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea‐level projections at a global network of tide‐gauge sites
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey · Columbia University · +7 more institutions
Abstract
Abstract Sea‐level rise due to both climate change and non‐climatic factors threatens coastal settlements, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Projections of mean global sea‐level (GSL) rise provide insufficient information to plan adaptive responses; local decisions require local projections that accommodate different risk tolerances and time frames and that can be linked to storm surge projections. Here we present a global set of local sea‐level (LSL) projections to inform decisions on timescales ranging from the coming decades through the 22nd century. We provide complete probability distributions, informed by a combination of expert community assessment, expert elicitation, and process modeling. Between the…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 49.45
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 77
Authors
8- RERobert E. KoppCorresponding
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
- RHRadley Horton
Columbia University
- CMChristopher M. Little
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Princeton University
- JXJ. X. Mitrovica
Planetary Science Institute, Harvard University
- MOMichael Oppenheimer
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, Princeton University
Topics & keywords
- Storm surge
- Tide gauge
- Climate change
- Environmental science
- Sea level
- Climatology
- Expert elicitation
- Physical geography