A Stochastic Differential Equation SIS Epidemic Model
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Abstract
In this paper we extend the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model from a deterministic framework to a stochastic one and formulate it as a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the number of infectious individuals $I(t)$. We then prove that this SDE has a unique global positive solution $I(t)$ and establish conditions for extinction and persistence of $I(t)$. We discuss perturbation by stochastic noise. In the case of persistence we show the existence of a stationary distribution and derive expressions for its mean and variance. The results are illustrated by computer simulations, including two examples based on real-life diseases.
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Topics
Keywords
- Stochastic differential equation
- Mathematics
- Epidemic model
- Applied mathematics
- Perturbation (astronomy)
- Persistence (discontinuity)
- Stationary distribution
- Stochastic partial differential equation
UN Sustainable Development Goals
- Good health and well-being
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