articleSIAM Journal on Applied MathematicsJan 1, 2011Closed access

A Stochastic Differential Equation SIS Epidemic Model

Donghua University

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Abstract

In this paper we extend the classical susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic model from a deterministic framework to a stochastic one and formulate it as a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the number of infectious individuals $I(t)$. We then prove that this SDE has a unique global positive solution $I(t)$ and establish conditions for extinction and persistence of $I(t)$. We discuss perturbation by stochastic noise. In the case of persistence we show the existence of a stationary distribution and derive expressions for its mean and variance. The results are illustrated by computer simulations, including two examples based on real-life diseases.

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741
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Authors

5

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Stochastic differential equation
  • Mathematics
  • Epidemic model
  • Applied mathematics
  • Perturbation (astronomy)
  • Persistence (discontinuity)
  • Stationary distribution
  • Stochastic partial differential equation
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Good health and well-being
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