articleHydrology and earth system sciencesMay 11, 2015GOLD OA

Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe

LALorenzo AlfieriPBPeter BurekLFLuc FeyenGFGiovanni Forzieri

Joint Research Centre

Indexed incrossrefdoaj

Abstract

Abstract. EURO-CORDEX (Coordinated Downscaling Experiment over Europe), a new generation of downscaled climate projections, has become available for climate change impact studies in Europe. New opportunities arise in the investigation of potential effects of a warmer world on meteorological and hydrological extremes at regional scales. In this work, an ensemble of EURO-CORDEX RCP8.5 scenarios is used to drive a distributed hydrological model and assess the projected changes in flood hazard in Europe through the current century. Changes in magnitude and frequency of extreme streamflow events are investigated by statistical distribution fitting and peak over threshold analysis. A consistent method is proposed to…

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Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Downscaling
  • Environmental science
  • Flood myth
  • Magnitude (astronomy)
  • Climate change
  • Climatology
  • Streamflow
  • Hazard
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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