Does the h index have predictive power?

University of California San Diego

PubMed
Indexed inarxivcrossrefpubmed

Abstract

Bibliometric measures of individual scientific achievement are of particular interest if they can be used to predict future achievement. Here we report results of an empirical study of the predictive power of the h index compared with other indicators. Our findings indicate that the h index is better than other indicators considered (total citation count, citations per paper, and total paper count) in predicting future scientific achievement. We discuss reasons for the superiority of the h index.

Citation impact

964
total citations
FWCI
49.25
Percentile
100%
References
12
Citations per year

Authors

1

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Predictive power
  • Index (typography)
  • Statistics
  • Citation
  • Econometrics
  • Psychology
  • Mathematics
  • Computer science
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Quality Education
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