Novel climates, no-analog communities, and ecological surprises
University of Wisconsin–Madison · University of Wyoming
Abstract
No-analog communities (communities that are compositionally unlike any found today) occurred frequently in the past and will develop in the greenhouse world of the future. The well documented no-analog plant communities of late-glacial North America are closely linked to “novel” climates also lacking modern analogs, characterized by high seasonality of temperature. In climate simulations for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change A2 and B1 emission scenarios, novel climates arise by 2100 AD, primarily in tropical and subtropical regions. These future novel climates are warmer than any present climates globally, with spatially variable shifts in precipitation, and increase the risk of species reshuffling…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 43.73
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 66
Authors
2Topics & keywords
- Climate change
- Ecology
- Subtropics
- Geography
- Robustness (evolution)
- Environmental science
- Climatology
- Biology
- Climate action