Ecological Modeling from Time-Series Inference: Insight into Dynamics and Stability of Intestinal Microbiota

The intestinal microbiota is a microbial ecosystem of crucial importance to human health. Understanding how the microbiota confers resistance against enteric pathogens and how antibiotics disrupt that resistance is key to the prevention and cure of intestinal infections. We present a novel method to infer microbial community ecology directly from time-resolved metagenomics. This method extends generalized Lotka-Volterra dynamics to account for external perturbations. Data from recent experiments on antibiotic-mediated Clostridium difficile infection is analyzed to quantify microbial interactions, commensal-pathogen interactions, and the effect of the antibiotic on the community. Stability analysis reveals that…

• NI
  National Institutes of Health

  Awards: CA148967, DP2OD008440
• NO
  NIH Office of the Director
• NC
  National Cancer Institute