articleClimatic ChangeMar 6, 2012HYBRID OA

Climate change and impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East

JLJos LelieveldPHPanos HadjinicolaouΕΚΕ. ΚωστοπούλουJCJonathan ChenowethMEMustapha El Maayar

Cyprus Institute · National Observatory of Athens

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Abstract

The Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East (EMME) are likely to be greatly affected by climate change, associated with increases in the frequency and intensity of droughts and hot weather conditions. Since the region is diverse and extreme climate conditions already common, the impacts will be disproportional. We have analyzed long-term meteorological datasets along with regional climate model projections for the 21st century, based on the intermediate IPCC SRES scenario A1B. This suggests a continual, gradual and relatively strong warming of about 3.5-7°C between the 1961-1990 reference period and the period 2070-2099. Daytime maximum temperatures appear to increase most rapidly in the northern part of the…

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Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Peninsula
  • Climate change
  • Mediterranean climate
  • Precipitation
  • Climatology
  • Environmental science
  • Period (music)
  • Middle East
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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