Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution
University of Liverpool · University of London · +4 more institutions
Abstract
Malaria is an important disease that has a global distribution and significant health burden. The spatial limits of its distribution and seasonal activity are sensitive to climate factors, as well as the local capacity to control the disease. Malaria is also one of the few health outcomes that has been modeled by more than one research group and can therefore facilitate the first model intercomparison for health impacts under a future with climate change. We used bias-corrected temperature and rainfall simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate models to compare the metrics of five statistical and dynamical malaria impact models for three future time periods (2030s, 2050s, and…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 45.92
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 35
Authors
9Topics & keywords
- Coupled model intercomparison project
- Malaria
- Representative Concentration Pathways
- Climate change
- Climate model
- Environmental science
- Population
- Climatology