A Potential Decline in Life Expectancy in the United States in the 21st Century
University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center · University of California, San Francisco · +4 more institutions
Abstract
Estimates of future life expectancy strongly influence public policy on age-based entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. Although recent estimates of how long Americans will live in this century have predicted an increase, the authors believe that current trends in obesity in the United States may end the slow but steady increase in life expectancy that has taken place in the past 2 centuries. In the past 3 decades, the rise in life expectancy at birth has decelerated in the context of historical trends. Recent exploration by experts, including mathematical demographers, predicts a more rapid rate of increase in life expectancy for the U.S. population than has been anticipated. At present,…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 176.81
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 49
Authors
10- SJS. Jay OlshanskyCorresponding
University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, University of California, San Francisco, University of Alabama at Birmingham, University of Illinois Chicago, Weatherford College, International Longevity Centre
- DJDouglas J. Passaro
Weatherford College, University of Illinois Chicago, University of Alabama at Birmingham, International Longevity Centre, University of California, San Francisco, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center
- RCRonald C. Hershow
University of Alabama at Birmingham, International Longevity Centre, University of California, San Francisco, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Weatherford College, University of Illinois Chicago
- JEJennifer E. Layden
University of Alabama at Birmingham, International Longevity Centre, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Weatherford College, University of Illinois Chicago, University of California, San Francisco
- BABruce A. Carnes
International Longevity Centre, University of California, San Francisco, University of Illinois Chicago, University of Alabama at Birmingham, University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Weatherford College
Topics & keywords
- Life expectancy
- Medicine
- Overweight
- Demography
- Obesity
- Population
- Gerontology
- Context (archaeology)
- Good health and well-being