articleProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesMar 17, 2014BRONZE OA

Shifts in flowering phenology reshape a subalpine plant community

University of Arizona · Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory · +1 more institution

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Abstract

Phenology--the timing of biological events--is highly sensitive to climate change. However, our general understanding of how phenology responds to climate change is based almost solely on incomplete assessments of phenology (such as first date of flowering) rather than on entire phenological distributions. Using a uniquely comprehensive 39-y flowering phenology dataset from the Colorado Rocky Mountains that contains more than 2 million flower counts, we reveal a diversity of species-level phenological shifts that bring into question the accuracy of previous estimates of long-term phenological change. For 60 species, we show that first, peak, and last flowering rarely shift uniformly and instead usually shift…

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