Socio-economic and climate change impacts on agriculture: an integrated assessment, 1990–2080

A comprehensive assessment of the impacts of climate change on agro-ecosystems over this century is developed, up to 2080 and at a global level, albeit with significant regional detail. To this end an integrated ecological-economic modelling framework is employed, encompassing climate scenarios, agro-ecological zoning information, socio-economic drivers, as well as world food trade dynamics. Specifically, global simulations are performed using the FAO/IIASA agro-ecological zone model, in conjunction with IIASAs global food system model, using climate variables from five different general circulation models, under four different socio-economic scenarios from the intergovernmental panel on climate change. First,…

• IN
  Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
• NO
  National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
• NR
  NOAA Research