Projecting the Number of Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease in the United States to the Year 2015
University of Minnesota System · The Coordinating Center · +4 more institutions
Abstract
The size of the prevalent ESRD population in the United States increased dramatically during the 1990s, from 196,000 in 1991 to 382,000 in 2000. Incidence also increased considerably during the same period, from 53,000 to 93,000 per year. If previous trends in ESRD incidence and prevalence continue, then current levels of health care resources that are devoted to the care of these patients will eventually be unable to meet the demand. This study discusses a Markov model developed to predict ESRD incidence, prevalence, and mortality to the year 2015 and incorporating expected changes in age/race distributions, diabetes prevalence, ESRD incidence, and probability of death. The model predicted that by 2015 there…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 32.85
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 33
Authors
7- DTDavid T. GilbertsonCorresponding
University of Minnesota System
- JLJiannong LiuCorresponding
The Coordinating Center
- JLJay L. XueCorresponding
University of Minnesota, University of Minnesota System, Twin Cities Orthopedics, The Coordinating Center
- TAThomas A. LouisCorresponding
The Coordinating Center, Johns Hopkins University
- CACraig A. SolidCorresponding
The Coordinating Center
Topics & keywords
- Medicine
- Incidence (geometry)
- End stage renal disease
- Population
- Demography
- Disease
- Epidemiology
- Pediatrics
- Good health and well-being