articleBMJAug 11, 2015HYBRID OA

How to develop a more accurate risk prediction model when there are few events

MPMenelaos PavlouGAGareth AmblerSRShaun R. SeamanOGOliver GuttmannPEPerry Elliott

Royal Statistical Society · University College London · +2 more institutions

PubMed
Indexed incrossrefpubmed

Abstract

When the number of events is low relative to the number of predictors, standard regression could produce overfitted risk models that make inaccurate predictions. Use of penalised regression may improve the accuracy of risk prediction

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680
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Authors

7

Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Regression
  • Regression analysis
  • Predictive modelling
  • Computer science
  • Econometrics
  • Risk model
  • Statistics
  • Machine learning
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