articleEnvironmental Research LettersApr 1, 2016GOLD OA

Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming

The University of Queensland · The University of Western Australia · +14 more institutions

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Abstract

The consensus that humans are causing recent global warming is shared by 90%-100% of publishing climate scientists according to six independent studies by co-authors of this paper. Those results are consistent with the 97% consensus reported by Cook et al (Environ. Res. Lett. 8 024024) based on 11 944 abstracts of research papers, of which 4014 took a position on the cause of recent global warming. A survey of authors of those papers (N=2412 papers) also supported a 97% consensus. Tol (2016 Environ. Res. Lett. 11 048001) comes to a different conclusion using results from surveys of nonexperts such as economic geologists and a self-selected group of those who reject the consensus. We demonstrate that this…

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Authors

16

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Scientific consensus
  • Global warming
  • Washington Consensus
  • Climate change
  • Political science
  • Consensus conference
  • Position (finance)
  • Computer science
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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