Spatially explicit global population scenarios consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Here we report that the projected size and spatial distribution of the future population are important drivers of global change and key determinants of exposure and vulnerability to hazards. Spatial demographic projections are widely used as inputs to spatial projections of land use, energy use, and emissions, as well as to assessments of the impacts of extreme events, sea level rise, and other climate-related outcomes. To date, however, there are very few global-scale, spatially explicit population projections, and those that do exist are often based on simple scaling or trend extrapolation. Here we present a new set of global, spatially explicit population scenarios that are consistent with the new Shared…

• NS
  National Science Foundation

  Award: CHE-1314040
• UD
  U.S. Department of Energy

  Award: DE-SC0006704
• OO
  Office of Science