articleGlobal Environmental ChangeAug 22, 2016HYBRID OA

Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research · Health Sciences and Nutrition · +7 more institutions

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Abstract

Abstract This paper presents a set of energy and resource intensive scenarios based on the concept of Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs). The scenario family is characterized by rapid and fossil-fueled development with high socio-economic challenges to mitigation and low socio-economic challenges to adaptation (SSP5). A special focus is placed on the SSP5 marker scenario developed by the REMIND-MAgPIE integrated assessment modeling framework. The SSP5 baseline scenarios exhibit very high levels of fossil fuel use, up to a doubling of global food demand, and up to a tripling of energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions over the course of the century, marking the upper end of the scenario literature in…

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