articleHuman Resources for HealthFeb 3, 2017GOLD OA

Global Health Workforce Labor Market Projections for 2030

University of California, San Francisco · Organisation de Coopération et de Développement Economiques · +2 more institutions

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Abstract

Background

In low- and middle-income countries, scaling essential health interventions to achieve health development targets is constrained by the lack of skilled health professionals to deliver services.

Methods

We take a labor market approach to project future health workforce demand based on an economic model based on projected economic growth, demographics, and health coverage, and using health workforce data (1990-2013) for 165 countries from the WHO Global Health Observatory. The demand projections are compared with the projected growth in health worker supply and the health worker "needs" as estimated by WHO to achieve essential health coverage.

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Funding