reviewScienceSep 8, 2016GREEN OA

Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change

MCMark C. UrbanGBGreta BocediAPAndrew P. HendryJMJean‐Baptiste MihoubGPGuy Pe’er

University of Connecticut · Institut de Biologia Evolutiva · +25 more institutions

PubMed
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Abstract

BACKGROUND As global climate change accelerates, one of the most urgent tasks for the coming decades is to develop accurate predictions about biological responses to guide the effective protection of biodiversity. Predictive models in biology provide a means for scientists to project changes to species and ecosystems in response to disturbances such as climate change. Most current predictive models, however, exclude important biological mechanisms such as demography, dispersal, evolution, and species interactions. These biological mechanisms have been shown to be important in mediating past and present responses to climate change. Thus, current modeling efforts do not provide sufficiently accurate predictions.…

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Authors

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Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Climate change
  • Biological dispersal
  • Biodiversity
  • Sophistication
  • Population
  • Ecology
  • Environmental change
  • Environmental resource management
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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