Smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015
Jimma University · The University of Queensland · +12 more institutions
Abstract
The scale-up of tobacco control, especially after the adoption of the Framework Convention for Tobacco Control, is a major public health success story. Nonetheless, smoking remains a leading risk for early death and disability worldwide, and therefore continues to require sustained political commitment. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) offers a robust platform through which global, regional, and national progress toward achieving smoking-related targets can be assessed.
We synthesised 2818 data sources with spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression and produced estimates of daily smoking prevalence by sex, age group, and year for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015. We analysed 38 risk-outcome pairs to generate estimates of smoking-attributable mortality and disease burden, as measured by disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). We then performed a cohort analysis of smoking prevalence by birth-year cohort to better understand temporal age patterns in smoking. We also did a decomposition analysis, in which we parsed out changes in all-cause smoking-attributable DALYs due to changes in population growth, population ageing, smoking prevalence, and risk-deleted DALY rates. Finally, we explored results by level of development using the Socio-demographic Index (SDI).
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 158.34
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 72
Authors
233- MBMarissa B Reitsma
Jimma University, The University of Queensland, University of Ibadan, University of Washington, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Oxford, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Mekelle University, Sapienza University of Rome
- NFNancy Fullman
Jimma University, The University of Queensland, University of Ibadan, University of Washington, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Oxford, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Mekelle University, Sapienza University of Rome
- MNMarie Ng
Jimma University, The University of Queensland, University of Ibadan, University of Washington, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Oxford, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Mekelle University, Sapienza University of Rome
- JSJoseph S Salama
Jimma University, The University of Queensland, University of Ibadan, University of Washington, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Oxford, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Mekelle University, Sapienza University of Rome
- AAAmanuel Alemu Abajobir
Topics & keywords
- Burden of disease
- Disease
- Medicine
- Disease burden
- Environmental health
- Pathology
- Good health and well-being