Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events
Palo Alto Institute · Stanford University · +5 more institutions
Abstract
Efforts to understand the influence of historical global warming on individual extreme climate events have increased over the past decade. However, despite substantial progress, events that are unprecedented in the local observational record remain a persistent challenge. Leveraging observations and a large climate model ensemble, we quantify uncertainty in the influence of global warming on the severity and probability of the historically hottest month, hottest day, driest year, and wettest 5-d period for different areas of the globe. We find that historical warming has increased the severity and probability of the hottest month and hottest day of the year at >80% of the available observational area. Our…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 36.09
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 58
Authors
11- NSNoah S. DiffenbaughCorresponding
Palo Alto Institute, Stanford University
- DSDeepti Singh
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Stanford University
- JMJustin Mankin
Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Stanford University
- DEDaniel E. Horton
Northwestern University, Stanford University
- DLDaniel L. Swain
University of California, Los Angeles, Stanford University
Topics & keywords
- Attribution
- Global warming
- Environmental science
- Climate change
- Climatology
- Event (particle physics)
- Climate extremes
- Meteorology
- Climate action