articleBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyMay 28, 2019BRONZE OA

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment: Part I: Detection and Attribution

NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory · Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory · +10 more institutions

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Abstract

Abstract An assessment was made of whether detectable changes in tropical cyclone (TC) activity are identifiable in observations and whether any changes can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change. Overall, historical data suggest detectable TC activity changes in some regions associated with TC track changes, while data quality and quantity issues create greater challenges for analyses based on TC intensity and frequency. A number of specific published conclusions (case studies) about possible detectable anthropogenic influence on TCs were assessed using the conventional approach of preferentially avoiding type I errors (i.e., overstating anthropogenic influence or detection). We conclude there is at…

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