Anthropogenic shift towards higher risk of flash drought over China
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology · Institute of Atmospheric Physics · +4 more institutions
Abstract
Flash droughts refer to a type of droughts that have rapid intensification without sufficient early warning. To date, how will the flash drought risk change in a warming future climate remains unknown due to a diversity of flash drought definition, unclear role of anthropogenic fingerprints, and uncertain socioeconomic development. Here we propose a new method for explicitly characterizing flash drought events, and find that the exposure risk over China will increase by about 23% ± 11% during the middle of this century under a socioeconomic scenario with medium challenge. Optimal fingerprinting shows that anthropogenic climate change induced by the increased greenhouse gas concentrations accounts for 77% ± 26%…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 22.21
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 41
Authors
6- XYXing YuanCorresponding
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Institute of Atmospheric Physics
- LWLinying Wang
Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics
- PWPeili Wu
Met Office
- PJPeng Ji
Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
- JSJustin Sheffield
University of Southampton
Topics & keywords
- Climate change
- China
- Flash flood
- Global warming
- Population
- Flash (photography)
- Geography
- Environmental science
- Climate action
Funding
- NFNewton Fund
- MOMet Office
- NNNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaAwards: 2018YFA0606002, 41875105
- MOMinistry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of ChinaAward: 2018YFA0606002
- NUNanjing University of Information Science and Technology
- SFStartup Foundation for Introducing Talent of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology