preprintarXiv (Cornell University)May 24, 2019GREEN OA

N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series\n forecasting

Indexed inarxiv

Abstract

We focus on solving the univariate times series point forecasting problem\nusing deep learning. We propose a deep neural architecture based on backward\nand forward residual links and a very deep stack of fully-connected layers. The\narchitecture has a number of desirable properties, being interpretable,\napplicable without modification to a wide array of target domains, and fast to\ntrain. We test the proposed architecture on several well-known datasets,\nincluding M3, M4 and TOURISM competition datasets containing time series from\ndiverse domains. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance for two\nconfigurations of N-BEATS for all the datasets, improving forecast accuracy by\n11% over a statistical…

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519
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Authors

4

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Computer science
  • Benchmark (surveying)
  • Residual
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Deep learning
  • Univariate
  • Series (stratigraphy)
  • Artificial neural network
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Decent work and economic growth
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