Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

Wu, Peng; Hao, Xinxin; Lau, Eric H. Y.; Wong, Jessica Y.; Leung, Kathy; Wu, Joseph T.; Cowling, Benjamin J.; Leung, GM

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.3.2000044

articleEurosurveillanceJan 23, 2020DIAMOND OA

Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

PWPeng Wu XHXinxin Hao EHEric H. Y. Lau JYJessica Y. Wong KLKathy Leung

University of Hong Kong

PubMed

Indexed incrossrefdoajpubmed

Abstract

A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9-32%).

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Topics & keywords

Topics

Keywords

Epidemiology
Transmission (telecommunications)
Case fatality rate
Confidence interval
Coronavirus
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
China

UN Sustainable Development Goals

Good health and well-being

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