articleNew England Journal of MedicineJan 29, 2020GREEN OA

Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia

World Wide Web Consortium · University of Hong Kong

PubMed
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Abstract

Background

The initial cases of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)-infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, in December 2019 and January 2020. We analyzed data on the first 425 confirmed cases in Wuhan to determine the epidemiologic characteristics of NCIP.

Methods

We collected information on demographic characteristics, exposure history, and illness timelines of laboratory-confirmed cases of NCIP that had been reported by January 22, 2020. We described characteristics of the cases and estimated the key epidemiologic time-delay distributions. In the early period of exponential growth, we estimated the epidemic doubling time and the basic reproductive number.

Citation impact

17,936
total citations
FWCI
1570.46
Percentile
100%
References
20
Citations per year

Authors

45

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Coronavirus
  • Transmission (telecommunications)
  • Pneumonia
  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
  • Virology
  • China
  • Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
  • 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Good health and well-being
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Funding