articleEurosurveillanceJan 30, 2020DIAMOND OA

Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020

JRJulien RiouCLChristian L. Althaus

University of Bern · Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine

PubMed
Indexed incrossrefdoajpubmed

Abstract

Since December 2019, China has been experiencing a large outbreak of a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We estimated the basic reproduction number R 0 of 2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density interval: 1.4–3.8), indicating the potential for sustained human-to-human transmission. Transmission characteristics appear to be of similar magnitude to severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.

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Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Transmission (telecommunications)
  • Pandemic
  • Outbreak
  • Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
  • Pneumonia
  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
  • Betacoronavirus
  • Coronavirus
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Good health and well-being
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