articleJournal of Population EconomicsMay 9, 2020HYBRID OA

Impacts of social and economic factors on the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China

YQYun QiuXCXi ChenWSWei Shi

Jinan University · Yale University · +1 more institution

PubMed
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Abstract

This study models local and cross-city transmissions of the novel coronavirus in China between January 19 and February 29, 2020. We examine the role of various socioeconomic mediating factors, including public health measures that encourage social distancing in local communities. Weather characteristics 2 weeks prior are used as instrumental variables for causal inference. Stringent quarantines, city lockdowns, and local public health measures imposed in late January significantly decreased the virus transmission rate. The virus spread was contained by the middle of February. Population outflow from the outbreak source region posed a higher risk to the destination regions than other factors, including…

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Topics & keywords

Topics
Keywords
  • Public health
  • Social distance
  • Socioeconomic status
  • Transmission (telecommunications)
  • Outbreak
  • China
  • Counterfactual thinking
  • Population
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