Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique · Johns Hopkins University · +12 more institutions
Abstract
COVID-19 pandemic in France Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) exacted a heavy toll in France during March and April 2020. Quarantine measures were effective in reducing transmission by 84%, and some relaxation of social isolation was expected in May. Salje et al. fit transmission models for the epidemic in France to hospital admissions. The authors forecast that 2.9 million people will have been infected by 11 May, representing 4.4% of the population—a value inadequate for herd immunity. Daily critical care hospitalizations should reduce from several hundreds to tens of cases, but control will remain a delicate balancing act. Any relaxation of lockdown in France will have to be carefully controlled and…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 38.13
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 28
Authors
17- HSHenrik SaljeCorresponding
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Johns Hopkins University, Institut Pasteur, University of Cambridge
- CTCécile Tran KiemCorresponding
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Institut Pasteur, Université Sorbonne Nouvelle, Sorbonne Université
- NLNoémie Lefrancq
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Institut Pasteur
- NCNoémie Courtejoie
Ministère des Solidarités et de la Santé
- PBPaolo Bosetti
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Institut Pasteur
Topics & keywords
- Pandemic
- Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
- Medicine
- Population
- Herd immunity
- Demography
- 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak
- Good health and well-being