Simulating the Potential Impacts of COVID-19 School Closures on Schooling and Learning Outcomes: A Set of Global Estimates

School closures due to COVID-19 have
\n left more than a billion students out of school. This paper
\n presents the results of simulations considering three, five
\n and seven months of school closure and different levels of
\n mitigation effectiveness resulting in optimistic,
\n intermediate and pessimistic global scenarios. Using data on
\n 157 countries, the analysis finds that the global level of
\n schooling and learning will fall. COVID-19 could result in a
\n loss of between 0.3 and 0.9 years of schooling adjusted for
\n quality, bringing down the effective years of basic
\n schooling that students achieve during their lifetime from
\n 7.9 years to between 7.0…