A Quantitative Model of Banking Industry Dynamics

Business cycles, and borrower default frequencies. The model is parameterized to match a set of key aggregate and cross-sectional statistics for the U.S. banking industry. As in the data, the model generates countercyclical interest rates on loans, bank failure rates, borrower default frequencies, and charge-off rates as well as a procyclical loan supply and entry rates. The model can be used to study bank competition and the benefits/costs of policies to subsidize/mitigate bank entry/exit.