articleThe Quarterly Journal of EconomicsNov 1, 2003BRONZE OA

Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice

Harvard University Press · London Business School

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Abstract

This paper asks how a household should choose between a xed-rate (FRM) and an adjustable-rate (ARM) mortgage. In an environment with uncertain in ation a nominal FRM has a risky real capital value, whereas an ARM has a stable real capital value but short-term variability in required real payments. Numerical solution of a life-cycle model with borrowing constraints and income risk shows that an ARM is generally attractive, but less so for a risk-averse household with a large mortgage, risky income, high default cost, or low moving probability. An in ation-indexed FRM can improve substantially on standard nominal mortgages.

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