Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change
Australian Research Council · UNSW Sydney · +1 more institution
Abstract
Abstract While compound weather and climate events (CEs) can lead to significant socioeconomic consequences, their response to climate change is mostly unexplored. We report the first multi-model assessment of future changes in return periods for the co-occurrence of heatwaves and drought, and extreme winds and precipitation based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and three emission scenarios. Extreme winds and precipitation CEs occur more frequently in many regions, particularly under higher emissions. Heatwaves and drought occur more frequently everywhere under all emission scenarios examined. For each CMIP6 model, we derive a skill score for simulating CEs. Models with higher skill in…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 26.49
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 45
Authors
4Topics & keywords
- Climatology
- Precipitation
- Coupled model intercomparison project
- Environmental science
- Climate change
- Climate model
- Climate extremes
- Meteorology
- Climate action