Increased ENSO sea surface temperature variability under four IPCC emission scenarios
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere · Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology · +6 more institutions
Abstract
Abstract Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact, and its future change is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the IPCC reports no systematic change in ENSO SST variability under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in century-long ENSO SST variability under four IPCC plausible emission scenarios.
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 26.72
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 24
Authors
6- WCWenju CaiCorresponding
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, Ocean University of China
- BNBenjamin Ng
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research
- GWGuojian Wang
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, Ocean University of China
- ASAgus Santoso
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Australian Research Council, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science
- LWLixin Wu
Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Ocean University of China
Topics & keywords
- El Niño Southern Oscillation
- Sea surface temperature
- Climatology
- Environmental science
- Multivariate ENSO index
- Climate change
- Surface air temperature
- Southern oscillation
- Life below water