The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
Barcelona Supercomputing Center · Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya · +2 more institutions
Abstract
Abstract. The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and Phase 6 (CMIP6) historical and future scenario simulations to quantify the impacts of the already changing climate in the region. In particular, we investigate changes in temperature and precipitation during the 21st century following scenarios RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for CMIP5 and SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 from CMIP6, as well as for the HighResMIP high-resolution experiments. A model weighting scheme is applied to obtain constrained estimates of projected changes, which accounts for…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 30.34
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 64
Authors
6- PCPep CosCorresponding
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
- FJFrancisco J. Doblas‐ReyesCorresponding
Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
- MJMartin Jury
University of Graz, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
- RMRaül Marcos-MatamorosCorresponding
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
- PBPierre-Antoine BretonnièreCorresponding
Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya
Topics & keywords
- Coupled model intercomparison project
- Climatology
- Precipitation
- Environmental science
- Mediterranean climate
- Climate change
- Hotspot (geology)
- Climate model
- Climate action