Molecular International Prognostic Scoring System for Myelodysplastic Syndromes

Risk stratification and therapeutic decision-making for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are based on the International Prognostic Scoring System–Revised (IPSS-R), which considers hematologic parameters and cytogenetic abnormalities. Somatic gene mutations are not yet used in the risk stratification of patients with MDS.

To develop a clinical-molecular prognostic model (IPSS-Molecular [IPSS-M]), pretreatment diagnostic or peridiagnostic samples from 2957 patients with MDS were profiled for mutations in 152 genes. Clinical and molecular variables were evaluated for associations with leukemia-free survival, leukemic transformation, and overall survival. Feature selection was applied to determine the set of independent IPSS-M prognostic variables. The relative weights of the selected variables were estimated using a robust Cox multivariable model adjusted for confounders. The IPSS-M was validated in an external cohort of 754 Japanese patients with MDS.