The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis · Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology · +10 more institutions
Abstract
Droughts that exceed the magnitudes of historical variation ranges could occur increasingly frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of unprecedented drought conditions under climate change has rarely been examined. Here, using multimodel hydrological simulations, we investigate the changes in the frequency of hydrological drought (defined as abnormally low river discharge) under high and low greenhouse gas concentration scenarios and existing water resource management measures and estimate the time of the first emergence of unprecedented regional drought conditions centered on the low-flow season. The times are detected for several subcontinental-scale regions, and three…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 26.72
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 91
Authors
16- YSYusuke SatohCorresponding
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, National Institute for Environmental Studies
- KYKei Yoshimura
The University of Tokyo
- YPYadu Pokhrel
Michigan State University
- HKHyungjun Kim
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo
- HSHideo Shiogama
National Institute for Environmental Studies
Topics & keywords
- Climate change
- Environmental science
- Greenhouse gas
- Mediterranean climate
- Preparedness
- Climate model
- Water resources
- Resource (disambiguation)
- Clean water and sanitation
Funding
- NSNational Science FoundationAwards: CAREER, 1752729
- NRNational Research FoundationAward: 2018R1A5A7025409
- MOMinistry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and TechnologyAwards: JPMXD0717935715, JPMXD0717935457
- NRNational Research Foundation of KoreaAwards: 2018R1A5A7025409, 2021H1D3A2A03097768
- MOMinistry of Science and ICT, South KoreaAward: 2018R1A5A7025409