Emerging signals of declining forest resilience under climate change
European Commission · Joint Research Centre · +8 more institutions
Abstract
Abstract Forest ecosystems depend on their capacity to withstand and recover from natural and anthropogenic perturbations (that is, their resilience) 1 . Experimental evidence of sudden increases in tree mortality is raising concerns about variation in forest resilience 2 , yet little is known about how it is evolving in response to climate change. Here we integrate satellite-based vegetation indices with machine learning to show how forest resilience, quantified in terms of critical slowing down indicators 3–5 , has changed during the period 2000–2020. We show that tropical, arid and temperate forests are experiencing a significant decline in resilience, probably related to increased water limitations and…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 63.63
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 63
Authors
5- GFGiovanni ForzieriCorresponding
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, University of Florence
- VDVasilis Dakos
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, École Pratique des Hautes Études, Université de Montpellier, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement
- NGNate G. McDowell
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Washington State University
- RARamdane Alkama
Joint Research Centre
- ACAlessandro Cescatti
Joint Research Centre
Topics & keywords
- Climate change
- Environmental science
- Ecosystem
- Psychological resilience
- Ecology
- Geography
- Temperate climate
- Forest ecology
- Climate action