Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

University of Cambridge · Nanjing University · +9 more institutions

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Abstract

Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or even eventual human extinction? At present, this is a dangerously underexplored topic. Yet there are ample reasons to suspect that climate change could result in a global catastrophe. Analyzing the mechanisms for these extreme consequences could help galvanize action, improve resilience, and inform policy, including emergency responses. We outline current knowledge about the likelihood of extreme climate change, discuss why understanding bad-to-worst cases is vital, articulate reasons for…

Citation impact

749
total citations
FWCI
77.30
Percentile
100%
References
86
Citations per year

Authors

11

Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Climate change
  • Futures contract
  • Psychological resilience
  • Resilience (materials science)
  • Human systems engineering
  • Environmental resource management
  • Risk analysis (engineering)
  • Global warming
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Climate action
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Funding