Exceeding 1.5°C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points
Stockholm Resilience Centre · Stockholm University · +5 more institutions
Abstract
Climate tipping points occur when change in a part of the climate system becomes self-perpetuating beyond a warming threshold, leading to substantial Earth system impacts. Synthesizing paleoclimate, observational, and model-based studies, we provide a revised shortlist of global "core" tipping elements and regional "impact" tipping elements and their temperature thresholds. Current global warming of ~1.1°C above preindustrial temperatures already lies within the lower end of some tipping point uncertainty ranges. Several tipping points may be triggered in the Paris Agreement range of 1.5 to
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 184.43
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 277
Authors
10- DIDavid I. Armstrong McKayCorresponding
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, University of Exeter, Bolin Centre for Climate Research
- ASArie Staal
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Utrecht University, Bolin Centre for Climate Research
- JFJesse F. Abrams
University of Exeter
- RWRicarda Winkelmann
University of Potsdam, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
- BSBoris Sakschewski
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Topics & keywords
- Tipping point (physics)
- Global warming
- Climate change
- Environmental science
- Climatology
- Climate system
- Geology
- Oceanography
- Climate action