Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North Atlantic region. In recent years weakening in circulation has been reported, but assessments by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), based on the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) model simulations suggest that a full collapse is unlikely within the 21st century. Tipping to an undesired state in the climate is, however, a growing concern with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. Predictions based on observations rely on detecting early-warning signals, primarily an increase in variance (loss of…

• EC
  European Commission

  Awards: 956107, 820970
• ES
  European Science Foundation

  Award: 820970
• NN
  Novo Nordisk
• NN
  Novo Nordisk Fonden

  Award: NNF20OC0062958