articleNatureJul 26, 2023HYBRID OA

Accelerating the energy transition towards photovoltaic and wind in China

Fudan University · CNH Industrial (Czechia) · +12 more institutions

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Abstract

Abstract China’s goal to achieve carbon (C) neutrality by 2060 requires scaling up photovoltaic (PV) and wind power from 1 to 10–15 PWh year −1 (refs. 1–5 ). Following the historical rates of renewable installation 1 , a recent high-resolution energy-system model 6 and forecasts based on China’s 14th Five-year Energy Development (CFED) 7 , however, only indicate that the capacity will reach 5–9.5 PWh year −1 by 2060. Here we show that, by individually optimizing the deployment of 3,844 new utility-scale PV and wind power plants coordinated with ultra-high-voltage (UHV) transmission and energy storage and accounting for power-load flexibility and learning dynamics, the capacity of PV and wind power can be…

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