Global fossil fuel reduction pathways under different climate mitigation strategies and ambitions
Stockholm Environment Institute · Stockholm Environment Institute · +5 more institutions
Abstract
Abstract The mitigation scenarios database of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Sixth Assessment Report is an important resource for informing policymaking on energy transitions. However, there is a large variety of models, scenario designs, and resulting outputs. Here we analyse the scenarios consistent with limiting warming to 2 °C or below regarding the speed, trajectory, and feasibility of different fossil fuel reduction pathways. In scenarios limiting warming to 1.5 °C with no or limited overshoot, global coal, oil, and natural gas supply (intended for all uses) decline on average by 95%, 62%, and 42%, respectively, from 2020 to 2050, but the long-term role of gas is highly variable.…
Citation impact
- FWCI
- 56.72
- Percentile
- 100%
- References
- 71
Authors
6Topics & keywords
- Fossil fuel
- Environmental science
- Climate change mitigation
- Greenhouse gas
- Climate change
- Limiting
- Coal
- Carbon capture and storage (timeline)
- Climate action