Predicting multiple conformations via sequence clustering and AlphaFold2

Abstract AlphaFold2 (ref. 1 ) has revolutionized structural biology by accurately predicting single structures of proteins. However, a protein’s biological function often depends on multiple conformational substates 2 , and disease-causing point mutations often cause population changes within these substates 3,4 . We demonstrate that clustering a multiple-sequence alignment by sequence similarity enables AlphaFold2 to sample alternative states of known metamorphic proteins with high confidence. Using this method, named AF-Cluster, we investigated the evolutionary distribution of predicted structures for the metamorphic protein KaiB 5 and found that predictions of both conformations were distributed in clusters…