PromptCast: A New Prompt-Based Learning Paradigm for Time Series Forecasting
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Abstract
This paper presents a new perspective on time series forecasting. In existing time series forecasting methods, the models take a sequence of numerical values as input and yield numerical values as output. The existing SOTA models are largely based on the Transformer architecture, modified with multiple encoding mechanisms to incorporate the context and semantics around the historical data. Inspired by the successes of pre-trained language foundation models, we pose a question about whether these models can also be adapted to solve time-series forecasting. Thus, we propose a new forecasting paradigm: prompt-based time series forecasting (PromptCast). In this novel task, the numerical input and output are…
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2Topics & keywords
Topics
Keywords
- Computer science
- Artificial intelligence
- Machine learning
- Time series
- Probabilistic forecasting
- Language model
- Benchmark (surveying)
- Probabilistic logic
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