articleNature Climate ChangeFeb 1, 2024HYBRID OA

300 years of sclerosponge thermometry shows global warming has exceeded 1.5 °C

The University of Western Australia · ARC Centre of Excellence in Plant Energy Biology · +3 more institutions

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Abstract

Abstract Anthropogenic emissions drive global-scale warming yet the temperature increase relative to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature records preserved in sclerosponge carbonate skeletons, we demonstrate that industrial-era warming began in the mid-1860s, more than 80 years earlier than instrumental sea surface temperature records. The Sr/Ca palaeothermometer was calibrated against ‘modern’ (post-1963) highly correlated ( R 2 = 0.91) instrumental records of global sea surface temperatures, with the pre-industrial defined by nearly constant (<±0.1 °C) temperatures from 1700 to the early 1860s. Increasing ocean and land-air temperatures overlap until the…

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Topics & keywords

Keywords
  • Global warming
  • Environmental science
  • Effects of global warming on oceans
  • Sea surface temperature
  • Climatology
  • Industrial Revolution
  • Climate change
  • Atmospheric sciences
UN Sustainable Development Goals
  • Life below water
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