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articleNatureApr 17, 2024HYBRID OA

RETRACTED ARTICLE: The economic commitment of climate change

University of Potsdam · Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research · +1 more institution

PubMed
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Abstract

Abstract Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons 1–6 . Here we use recent empirical findings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation, including daily variability and extremes 7,8 . Using an empirical approach that provides a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we find that the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next 26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without climate impacts, likely range of 11–29% accounting…

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