articleNature CommunicationsMay 16, 2024GOLD OA

Systematic review and meta-analysis of ex-post evaluations on the effectiveness of carbon pricing

University of Leeds · Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change · +10 more institutions

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Abstract

Today, more than 70 carbon pricing schemes have been implemented around the globe, but their contributions to emissions reductions remains a subject of heated debate in science and policy. Here we assess the effectiveness of carbon pricing in reducing emissions using a rigorous, machine-learning assisted systematic review and meta-analysis. Based on 483 effect sizes extracted from 80 causal ex-post evaluations across 21 carbon pricing schemes, we find that introducing a carbon price has yielded immediate and substantial emission reductions for at least 17 of these policies, despite the low level of prices in most instances. Statistically significant emissions reductions range between -5% to -21% across the…

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