GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Risk for Cirrhosis and Related Complications in Patients With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is an increasing cause of cirrhosis. Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) are effective in improving liver inflammation in patients with MASLD.

To determine whether use of GLP-1 RAs is associated with lower risk of developing cirrhosis and its complications, including decompensation and hepatocellular cancer (HCC), among patients with MASLD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study with an active comparator, new-user design used data from the national Veterans Health Administration Corporate Data Warehouse and Central Cancer Registry. Patients with MASLD and diabetes who were seen at 130 Veterans Health Administration hospitals and associated ambulatory clinics and who initiated either a GLP-1 RA or dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) between January 1, 2006, and June 30, 2022, were included. Patients were followed up from baseline until one of the study outcomes or the end of the study period (December 31, 2022), whichever came first. Exposures: Each GLP-1 RA new user was propensity score matched in 1:1 ratio to a patient who initiated a DPP-4i during the same month. Separate analyses were conducted among patients without and with cirrhosis at baseline. Main Outcomes and Measures: For patients without cirrhosis, the primary outcome was progression to cirrhosis defined by validated diagnoses codes or a noninvasive marker of liver fibrosis, and secondary outcomes were cirrhosis complications defined both as a composite and individual complications, including decompensation, HCC, or liver transplant, and all-cause mortality. For patients with cirrhosis, the primary outcome was a composite outcome of cirrhosis complications, and secondary outcomes were decompensation, HCC, and all-cause mortality.